
While the Russians were reconstituting their forces and things were 'quiet', I took a week off from the war. The pause allowed the western narrative of substantive Russian defeat to be escalated among media drones. Very shortly, the facts of Ukrainian defeat will no longer be able to be hidden. I foresee that it will shortly become very dangerous to be a narrative sceptic in the free west. There is a real risk that a significant false flag event will occur that will be used to justify draconian censorship and suppression of dissenters.

Briefly on the topic of false flags, a week ago the Ukrainians fired a Toschka U ballistic missile into the crowded train station at Kramatorsk, killing a dozen or so Ukrainians attempting to flee the battle zone. This attrocity was predictably blamed on the Russians as an Iskander missile strike, even though the missile is clearly a Toschka U, a weapons system that the Russians no longer have in their arsenal.
Western and NATO sources continue to warn that Russia is a planning a chemical weapons strike in Ukraine, revealing that they are clearly planning a false flag attrocity to cover up the looming exposure of NATO and US war crimes and criminality in Ukraine. Russia continues to report and publish documents seized in Ukrainian bio-weapons labs in the east of the country. The Russians - rightly - will not let this go and will be building a case to present both at the UN and in the war crimes trials that will follow the Ukrainian operation. Senior figures in the US are implicated.
Also causing panic in US and NATO centres is the situation in Mariupol. Russian forces have driven the last vestiges of the Ukrainain and nationalist units into the enormous Azovstahl steel complex. This vast industrial facility was once the largest steel works in the Soviet Union. There is rumoured to be a nuclear bomb shelter beneath site and network of tunnels. Between 1500 and 3000 nationalists and foreign mercenaries are trapped in the plant and there have been desperate attempts by Ukrainian and NATO forces to evacuate them. Six helicopter evacs have been attempted. All have failed. Two helicopters managed to land and take off some troops but these were shot down killing most on board. Three survivors were captured and undoubtedly will be helping the Russians with their enquiries.

An attempt was made to evacuate the troops by ship. A Ukrainian coastal freighter attempted to run the gauntlet of Russian coastguard in the Sea of Azov. The ship refused all calls to stop and be boarded so the Russians opened fire, striking the ship on its stern. It hove to and was captured.

Russian radio intercepts have picked up frantic calls in multiple languages, including English, Polish, French and Spanish from the besieged troops, back to NATO command centres reporting on the desperate situation in Azovstahl. The troops are almost out of food, water and ammunition. All attempts to break out have failed with significant loss of life. A request to Kiev for permission to surrender was denied and the nationalist units were instructed to fight to the death and prevent any attempt by foreign mercenarnies of conscript soldiers to surrender. There have been desperate attempts by European leaders, notably French president Macron and the Austrian chancellor, Karl Nehammer, to negotiate with Vladimir Putin a 'humanitarian corridor' for Mariupol. These transparent moves have failed.

So why the panic in Washington and Brussels? Because among the troops trapped in Mariupol are a large number of active service NATP personnel, including senior military ranks. A US general is rumoured to be among them. The Russians will want to capture these assets alive. The Ukrainians and their sponsors cannot counternance that, even if it means killing their own people. Play stupid games, win stupid prizes.
Two British mercenaries were among 1300 Ukrainian marines who surrendered at the Ilyich plant in Mariupol. Both are singing and denying they played an active role in the fighting. Their families are hoping there will be a prisoner exchange soon and their poor, wayward sons will be returned home. Fat chance. They were mercenaries fighting on behalf of a despicable regime. They can expect long prison sentences.

The flagship of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, the Moskva, was lost in mysterious circumstances over the easter weekend. The Russian defence ministry announced there was a fire aboard ship which resulted in a magazine explosion. The Moskva was taken under tow back to Crimea but sank in rough seas. The Ukrainians predictably claimed to have sunk the ship with anti-ship ballistic missiles, but have provided no evidence other than faked videos. I personally doubt the Ukrainian claim as the Moskva, although old (built in the 1970s) was an air-cover unit and would likely have been able to deal with two ground launched missiles. Although I have absolulely no evidence to base this on, it's possible the Moskva struck a loose mine. The Ukrainians sowed mines outside of Odessa in order to prevent a Russian amphibious landing. These were WW2 era mines and were poorly secured. Many have already broken from their moorings and washed back into Odessa, exploding on the beach or drifting off into the Black Sea. It could have been a fire. Ships do catch fire and magazines do explode. The Russians have already lost one transport ship to fire.

Elsewhere in Ukraine, the Russians are now pounding the 30-40,000 Ukrainian troops trapped in the cauldron west of the LDPR. Estimated Ukrainian troop losses to date are around 26,000. The troops that remain have been without fuel, ammunition, food or water for nearly a month now. The breaking point is nearing.

I'll close for today with two videos which are symptomatic of Ukraine's problems and why they were doomed to lose this war.
Thank you for your update on the situation in Ukraine, most appreciated.
ReplyDelete