Developments on Day
1. As predicted, the war commenced with the destruction of all Ukrainian air assets. By 9am both the Ukrainian airforce and what remained of its navy had been wiped out. All flights in and out of Ukraine are grounded.
2. Stand-off precision missile systems annihilated Ukrainian anti-aircraft systems, missile batteries and arms depots.
3. Communications with frontline troops were disabled, leading to chaos among Ukrainian troops.
4. DPR and LPR armed forces launched an assault on Ukrainian forces occupying Donetsk and Lugansk territory. Confused and disorganised, Ukrainian troops have generally surrendered on mass. Other units have fled the battlefield.
5. Russian tanks crossed the border in many places. Ukrainian border guards put up no resistance. More than 500 Ukrainian border troops have fled to Russia.
6. Fighting is going on around Kharkov on the Russian border, north of Lugansk.
7. There has some serious fighting going in the villages and towns on the contact line in Lugansk with losses on both sides.
8. Russian forces in Crimea have advanced along the Prekop pennisula towards Cherson. The Prekop canal, which used to supply the Crimea with its water and was destroyed by the Ukrainians in 2015, has been captured.
9. In Kiev, the headquarters of the National Guard, now run by neo-Nazis, was destroyed by precision munitions in the morning, adding to confusion and demoralisation of the armed forces. Ukrainian civil defence services virtually collapsed after the initial strikes but martial law has now been declared.
10. After lunchtime Russian Aerospace forces struck and destroyed the GRU headquarters and the headquarters of the 72nd Division along with other command and control positions.
11. Russian forces are driving towards Kiev and will likely reach the city later tonight. The SBU is burning is records and Ukrainian politicians are fleeing. There is a good chance that many will be seized on the road, captured by Russian forces or turned over by Ukrainians themselves, as there will be no rooftop evacuations for them. There is an international war crimes trial waiting for them in Moscow.
12. There are unconfirmed reports of a naval assault on Odessa.
13. Two Russian warships in the Sea of Azov were damaged in fighting, but no sailors killed.
This is a very sketchy overview and developments are very fluid. The Fog of War.
Day Two Report: https://stolzuntermenschen.blogspot.com/2022/02/the-ukrainian-de-nazification-operation.html
And so it begins: https://stolzuntermenschen.blogspot.com/2022/02/and-so-it-begins.html
There was a video of the speaker of the Rada fleeing with her family in a black stretch limo. A less conspicuous vehicle would have been smarter.
ReplyDeleteElsewhere I read that the canal now has water to Crimea. It is a lot of work to destroy a canal!
I have heard that the Russians are allowing civilians and conscripted soldiers free passage through the lines, but are checking IDs for militia fighters and politicians in disguise. They will be held for interrogation and possible war crimes charges.
ReplyDeleteRussian engineers are working to restore the water supply via the canal too.